The Black and Scholes Model
The Black and Scholes Option Pricing Model didn't appear overnight,
in fact, Fisher Black started out working to create a valuation model for stock
warrants. This work involved calculating a derivative to measure how the
discount rate of a warrant varies with time and stock price. The result of this
calculation held a striking resemblance to a well-known heat transfer equation.
Soon after this discovery, Myron Scholes joined Black and the result of their
work is a startlingly accurate option pricing model. Black and Scholes can't
take all credit for their work, in fact their model is actually an improved
version of a previous model developed by A. James Boness in his Ph.D.
dissertation at the University of Chicago. Black and Scholes' improvements on
the Boness model come in the form of a proof that the risk-free interest rate is
the correct discount factor, and with the absence of assumptions regarding
investor's risk preferences.
In order to understand the model itself,
we divide it into two parts. The first part, SN(d1), derives the expected
benefit from acquiring a stock outright. This is found by multiplying stock
price [S] by the change in the call premium with respect to a change in the
underlying stock price [N(d1)]. The second part of the model, Ke(-rt)N(d2),
gives the present value of paying the exercise price on the expiration day. The
fair market value of the call option is then calculated by taking the difference
between these two parts.
Assumptions of the Black and Scholes Model
1) The stock pays no dividends during the option's life
Most companies pay dividends to their
share holders, so this might seem a serious limitation to the model considering
the observation that higher dividend yields elicit lower call premiums. A common
way of adjusting the model for this situation is to subtract the discounted
value of a future dividend from the stock price.
2) European exercise terms are used
European exercise terms dictate that the option can only
be exercised on the expiration date. American exercise term allow the option to
be exercised at any time during the life of the option, making american options
more valuable due to their greater flexibility. This limitation is not a major
concern because very few calls are ever exercised before the last few days of
their life. This is true because when you exercise a call early, you forfeit the
remaining time value on the call and collect the intrinsic value. Towards the
end of the life of a call, the remaining time value is very small, but the
intrinsic value is the same.
3) Markets are efficient
This assumption suggests that people
cannot consistently predict the direction of the market or an individual stock.
The market operates continuously with share prices following a continuous Itô
process. To understand what a continuous Itô process is, you must first know
that a Markov process is "one where the observation in time period t depends
only on the preceding observation." An Itô process is simply a Markov process in
continuous time. If you were to draw a continuous process you would do so
without picking the pen up from the piece of paper.
4) No commissions are charged
Usually market participants do have to
pay a commission to buy or sell options. Even floor traders pay some kind of
fee, but it is usually very small. The fees that Individual investor's pay is
more substantial and can often distort the output of the model.
5) Interest rates remain constant and known
The Black and Scholes model uses the
risk-free rate to represent this constant and known rate. In reality there is no
such thing as the risk-free rate, but the discount rate on U.S. Government
Treasury Bills with 30 days left until maturity is usually used to represent it.
During periods of rapidly changing interest rates, these 30 day rates are often
subject to change, thereby violating one of the assumptions of the model.
6) Returns are lognormally distributed
This assumption suggests, returns on the
underlying stock are normally distributed, which is reasonable for most assets
that offer options.
Delta:
Delta is a measure of the sensitivity the
calculated option value has to small changes in the share price.
Gamma:
Gamma is a measure of the calculated
delta's sensitivity to small changes in share price.
Theta:
Theta measures the calculated option
value's sensitivity to small changes in volatility.
Vega:
Vega measures the calculated option
value's sensitivity to small changes in volatility.
Rho:
Black and Scholes Generalized Model
The Black Scholes Generalized model is suitable for evaluating European style
options on instruments which assume to pay a continuous dividend yield
during the life of the option. Since an option holder does not receive any cash
flows paid from the underlying instrument, this should be reflected in a lower
option price in the case of a call or a higher price in the case of a put. The
Black Scholes Generalized model provides a solution by subtracting the present
value of the continuous cash flow from the price of the underlying instrument.
Assumptions under which the formula was derived include:
- the option can only be exercised on the expiry date (European
style);
- the underlying instrument does not pay dividends;
- there are no taxes, margins or transaction costs;
- the risk free interest rate is constant;
- the price volatility of the underlying instrument is constant; and
- the price movements of the underlying instrument follow a lognormal
distribution.
This Financial CAD function (which is based on the Black Scholes
Generalized Model) can be used to work with the following types of instruments:
§
Options on instruments with a continuous dividend yield
§
Options on forwards or futures
§
Options on instruments with no yield
§
Options on spot foreign exchange
Advantages of
Black and Scholes
The Black and Scholes option-pricing
model presents a number of advantages. The most prevalent advantage is its ease
of use. It tells the user what is important not what is important. In other
words, it includes the very factors that market analysts look for. Secondly, it
does not promise to produce the exact prices that show up in the market, but it
does a remarkable job of pricing options that meet all of the assumptions